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Intro
The till was the store's scoreboard for a century. The store's new job never reaches it.
A store visit used to be free, and nearly everyone who mattered ended up at the till. In that world, sales per square metre was the right scoreboard, and the till was a fair record of the store's work. That world is gone. In 2000, e-commerce was around one percent of retail; Forrester put online at 16 percent of total retail across Europe's five largest markets in 2023 and expects 22 percent by 2028. When the whole assortment fits in a pocket, a visit to a store is a choice, and people make it for what a screen cannot give them: to see, to hold, to compare, to decide.
DEFINITION
Nobody has to come anymore. Every visit is chosen, and every visitor is worth something different. Formally: the visitation economy is the market condition in which the visit itself is the product and visitors carry unequal value, so the record of visits, who came, what they did, and what changed their behaviour, becomes the most decisive asset of any place built on visits, a store, a shopping centre, an airport, because it is the only record of that place's actual work.
A retailer's instruments are three. The till records what sold, never to whom it almost sold. The counter records how many came in, and counts every visitor as the same. The loyalty card records members, at the moment they buy. All three are transaction-economy instruments: correct for the job that era gave them, and still excellent at it. What none of them records is the store's new job, everything before the buying: attract the right people, let them see, let them try, help them decide. Peer-reviewed research has measured how much revenue that work produces outside the store's own ledger: when an online-first eyewear retailer opened physical showrooms, total sales in each showroom's trading area rose by an average of 7.4 percent, and web sales rose 2.9 percent alongside them.
The till records what sold, never to whom it almost sold.
The store's divide
The money is already following the retailers who measure more than the till. The top decile by revenue of 284 publicly traded retailers took 81 percent of retail's economic profit in 2020 to 2023, up from 66 percent in 2010 to 2014, and one retailer in four now destroys value, up from one in six fifteen years earlier. McKinsey's account of the companies that climbed keeps returning to one trait: they measure more of their business than their peers, and they act on what they measure. We would put it more directly, as our interpretation: every retailer has receipts; the divide is whose data can answer why.
What winning looks like in a store
Every store known: who it attracts, where it wins them, where it loses them, per store, per week.
Every change answered: worked, didn't, or too early to say, before it rolls out anywhere else.
Every week smarter: what you learn accumulates, and it cannot be backdated.
None of it is visible in a till report, and all of it can be started this quarter, beginning with one question a leadership team can ask today: could you say what share of yesterday's visitors you were built for? The record starts the day it starts. The months before it can never be measured again.
ACADEMIC SOURCE
US Census Bureau, E-Stats, "E-commerce 2000" (2002). Retail e-sales were 0.9 percent of total retail sales in 2000.
Forrester, "Europe-5 Online Retail Forecast, 2023 To 2028", press release, December 2023. Online reaching 22 percent of total retail in France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK by 2028, from 16 percent in 2023.
Bell, D.R., Gallino, S., Moreno, A. (2018). "Offline Showrooms in Omnichannel Retail: Demand and Operational Benefits." Management Science, 64(4), 1629-1651.
McKinsey & Company, "Retail's outperformers: Lessons in value creation", September 2024. Analysis of 284 publicly traded retailers.